Republican irrational exuberance?

You can feel it — Republican confidence in victory is growing. Many in the GOP, from elected officials to pundits on the social platform X, believe former President Donald Trump is headed to victory, perhaps even a big victory, on Nov. 5. For weeks, Vice President Kamala Harris’ lead in national polls has been shrinking, a little bit each day, until now the two are basically tied, which some experts believe will mean a Trump win. Of the five most recent polls in the RealClearPolitics average of polls, one has Harris leading by a single point, another has Trump leading by a single point, and three have the two candidates exactly tied. You can’t get closer than that.